European And World Football Betting

Top European leagues also attract great sums of money and are among some of the most popular leagues when it comes to betting on football online. These leagues include Spain’s La Liga, Italy’s Serie A, France’s Ligue 1 and Germany’s Bundesliga. These leagues possess some of the world’s most famous and successful football clubs. Clubs such as Barcelona, Juventus, Paris Saint Germain, Bayern Munich to name but a few.

But football betting isn’t just about the big leagues. Most bookmakers now offer odds on football games from leagues far and wide. For bettors with a deep knowledge and access to information relating to what may be considered more obscure leagues, value football betting can produce tremendous profits.

Football betting does not begin and end with domestic league play. There are major tournaments and competitions that are extremely popular to bet on as well. Club tournaments such as the English FA Cup, UEFA Champions League and Europa League; not to mention international tournaments such as the World Cup, European Championships, Copa America and so on.

Top 10 Football Leagues To Bet On

League

Betting info

English Premier League

20 teams. 380 matches each season.

English Championship

24 teams. 552 matches + 5 playoff matches each season.

Spanish La Liga

20 teams. 380 matches each season.

Italian Serie A

20 teams. 380 matches each season.

French Ligue Un

20 teams. 380 matches each season.

German Bundesliga

18 teams. 306 matches each season.

UEFA Champions League

32 teams. 125 matches (excl. qualifying rounds) each season.

UEFA Europa League

20 teams. 204 matches (excl. qualifying rounds) each season.

Scottish Premiership

12 teams. 198 matches + 20 playoff matches each season.

Dutch Eredivisie

18 teams. 306 matches + 5 playoff matches each season.

Where To Bet On Football Online?

Selecting which leagues and tournaments that you want to bet on is just the beginning. From there it’s a matter of choosing a bookmaker (or bookmakers) for your football betting. Fortunately there are dozens of bookmakers for you to choose from, offering hundreds of football betting markets week on week across the course of the football season.

Football Betting Odds Explained

To make consistent profits betting on football it’s vital you understand football betting odds. Learning how to read football odds (and their implied probabilities) is crucial to your long term success.

The most traditional way of expressing football betting odds in the UK are what are known as Fractional Odds. For example 2/1, 6/4, 9/2. Decimal Odds (also known as European odds), are becoming increasingly popular with many bettors finding decimal odds easier to understand than traditional fractional odds. Decimal odds are presented as 3.00, 2.50 and 5.50 etc.

 How Do Football Odds Work?

So let’s start to explain how betting odds work by looking at how much money you will win (your profit) if your football bet wins? Let’s start with decimal odds. Decimal odds show how much your return would be if you were to bet £1 at those odds. So for example, a win at odds of 3.00 would make your total return £3. This return includes the £1 that you bet. So the profit from your winning football bet would be £3 minus the £1 you bet, leaving a total profit of £2.

Likewise, fractional odds of 2/1 show that if you were to place a £1 bet you would make a profit of £2.

Decimal Odds Explained: West Ham vs Manchester City

Let’s consider two examples, firstly decimal odds. West Ham are hosting Manchester City in the Premier League.

For decimal odds, calculating your profit is very simple:

Your Profit = (Stake * Decimal Odds) – Stake

So let’s say that we have placed a £20 bet on West Ham to win their upcoming game vs Manchester City at odds of 3.50. How much profit will you make on your bet if West Ham wins?

Your Profit = (£20 * 3.50) – £20
Your Profit = (£70) – £20
Your Profit = £50

So in our example we would make a profit of £50 on our £20 bet if West Ham wins the match. All very simple.

Fractional Odds Explained: West Ham vs Manchester City

Now let’s consider another example, this time with fractional odds. We will use the same match again, West Ham hosting Manchester City in the Premier League.

Calculating your profit with fractional odds, is again simple:

Your Profit = (Stake / Denominator) * Numerator)

The numerator is the first figure in any presentation of fractional odds. So in this example, West Ham are at odds of 5/2. The numerator is then 5. The denominator is then 2.

So let’s consider our previous example and say that we have placed a £20 bet on West Ham to win their upcoming game vs Manchester City at odds of 5/2. How much profit will you make on your bet if West Ham wins?

Your Profit = (£20 / 2) * 5)
Your Profit = £10 * 5
Your Profit = £50

So just as in our decimal odds example, we would make a profit of £50 on our £20 bet if West Ham wins the match.

 Football Value Bets

Let’s first make a distinction. We are not, and should not, be interested in football gambling. If you want to know how to make money gambling, the simple answer is, you can’t. We are not interested in ‘gambling’. The term gambling implies a certain reckless degree of risk taking.

And yes, there is risk involved in implementing even the most considered football betting strategy, but was distinguishes football betting from football gambling is that football betting is about identifying value opportunities and exploiting them, while football gambling is merely about having a punt and hoping to win big on the weekend’s football.

If you want one piece of football betting advice, it is this- only bet when there is value.

What Is Value Football Betting?

The key to serious football betting and making consistent profits from your football bets (or betting on any other sports for that matter) is in finding what we call value bets. A value bet is when we believe that the chances of a particular outcome are higher than what the odds suggest. It point cannot be understated. You should only bet when there is betting value.

This is why understanding the implied probability reflected in football betting odds is so important to understand. Why is it so important? Let us repeat ourselves to make it clear – we should only bet when we believe the chances of a particular outcome are greater than what the odds on offer reflect.

An Example: Liverpool vs Sunderland

Value football betting is where your knowledge of football comes into play. Let’s consider two Premier League clubs in this example, Liverpool at home to Sunderland. The bookies are offering the following odds for the match result market:

  • Liverpool 1.50

  • Draw 4.50

  • Sunderland 6.50

We are keen Premier League viewers and have undertaken additional research on these two clubs including the possible team line ups for this game, knowing that Liverpool will be without their leading goalscorer and their best defender.

We also know that Sunderland need a win to avoid relegation and their leading goalscorer will be starting this match after a couple of weeks suspended. We have also taken a close look at some historical football data and have seen that Liverpool tend to underperform when expected to cruise to a comfortable victory at home.

Given all of this information we believe that Sunderland have a good chance of winning this game, making the odds of 6.50 well worth a bet. These odds suggest that Sunderland are a 15.4% chance to win. We believe their chances, while still slight, are closer to 20%. This is a value bet because we believe the chances of Sunderland winning are greater than those reflected in the odds being offered.

Calculating A Football Value Bet

As discussed, the odds of Sunderland winning the match are 6.50, which means there is a 15.4% implied probability of them winning. But through our knowledge and analysis, we believe Sunderland’s chances are greater than that, we believe that they have a 20% chance of winning.

We calculate betting value with the following formula:

Value = (Decimal odds * Our Assessed Probability) – 1

So in our example, we have Sunderland at odds of 6.50 and our assessed probability of them winning is 20%. Do we have a value bet?

Value = (6.50 * 0.20) – 1
Value = 1.30 – 1
Value = +0.30

When the calculation provides us with a + figure, we have a value bet. In this case we believe Sunderland are an excellent value bet at +30%. If the calculation returns a figure equal to or below 0, there is no betting value and we should not place a bet.

To be a successful long term football bettor, it’s important to expand your knowledge of both football the game, while likewise expanding your knowledge of football betting markets. Developing both in unison will enhance your ability to recognise football betting value.

How Much Should You Bet?

Now we come to the topic of staking. The main purpose of betting is to make money. Yes, some people bet just for a bit of fun and that’s fine, but here we’re interested in earning genuine profits from our football betting.

However, regardless of whether you intend to be a serious football bettor or a fan who enjoys a punt on the weekend, there are three crucial things to remember when it comes to your staking:

  • only bet what you can afford to lose

  • never chase losses

  • don’t increase your stakes when on a winning strak or a run of losses

The topic of calculating the perfect bet stake and bankroll management is a topic that requires deeper discussion than what we have time for in this guide. To learn more about value betting, staking strategies and bankroll management please read the following articles.

 Football Betting Stats

Which football leagues have the highest goal averages? How often do matches ended scoreless? What is home field advantage worth? These are common questions from both football fans and football bettors alike. In this section we’ll take a look at some basic football betting stats, looking at data from over 15,000 matches played the last five football seasons from the start of the 2011/12 season to the conclusion of the 2015/16 season. Our analysis considers football betting stats from the following ten European leagues:

  • Belgian Pro League

  • English Premier League

  • French Ligue Un

  • German Bundesliga

  • Italian Serie A

  • Dutch Eredivisie

  • Portuguese Primeira

  • Russian Premier League

  • Scotland Premiership

  • Spanish La Liga

Please note that these stats should be used as preliminary analysis only and as a guide for league by league tendencies.

What Is Home Field Advantage Worth?

An always intriguing question is the value of home field advantage in football. The table below shows the raw winning percentages for both home and away clubs across our ten leagues the last five seasons.

League

Home Win %

Draw %

Away Win %

Belgian Pro League

46.5%

25.0%

28.5%

English Premier League

44.5%

25.2%

30.3%

French Ligue Un

45.1%

27.4%

27.5%

German Bundesliga

45.4%

24.4%

30.2%

Italian Serie A

45.2%

27.0%

27.8%

Dutch Eredivisie

46.5%

24.3%

29.2%

Portuguese Primeira

44.8%

25.2%

30.0%

Russian Premier League

43.8%

26.5%

29.7%

Scottish Premiership

41.8%

24.2%

34.0%

Spanish La Liga

47.9%

23.5%

28.6%

TOTAL

45.3%

25.3%

29.4%

In answering the question of what is home field advantage in football worth, we can see that there has been little disparity over the last five seasons, with La Liga showing the greatest home field advantage at a win rate of near 48% while the Scottish Premiership has displayed the greatest away win percentage at 34%. Considering its reputation for low scoring contests, it’s no surprise that Ligue Un has had the highest percentage of drawn matches at just over 27%.

But what is home field advantage worth in terms of a goal advantage? The table below shows the average goals scored for both home and away clubs across the last five seasons of play.

League

Home Goals

Away Goals

Home Advantage

Belgian Pro League

1.62

1.22

+0.40

English Premier League

1.54

1.19

+0.35

French Ligue Un

1.44

1.07

+0.37

German Bundesliga

1.63

1.28

+0.35

Italian Serie A

1.50

1.14

+0.36

Dutch Eredivisie

1.77

1.36

+0.41

Portuguese Primeira

1.46

1.14

+0.32

Russian Premier League

1.39

1.08

+0.31

Scottish Premiership

1.46

1.24

+0.22

Spanish La Liga

1.63

1.13

+0.50

TOTAL

1.55

1.18

+0.37

As we may have expected based on fulltime result win percentages, La Liga has had the highest home field advantage in terms of goals scored over the last five seasons, at +0.5 goals while the Scottish Premiership saw a home field advantage of just +0.22 goals.

Across all matches played, the average home field advantage has been +0.37 goals. This amounts to a 0.74 goal swing between an average club playing at home and that same club playing away.

 How Often Are Matches Drawn At Halftime?

Let’s now look at the home, away and draw percentages for halftime results. Below we can see the Home, Away and Drawn match halftime result percentages across our ten leagues over the last five seasons..

League

Home Win %

Draw %

Away Win %

Belgian Pro League

34.4%

42.6%

23.0%

English Premier League

34.0%

42.3%

23.7%

French Ligue Un

34.2%

43.9%

21.9%

German Bundesliga

35.3%

40.0%

24.7%

Italian Serie A

34.5%

43.7%

21.8%

Dutch Eredivisie

36.0%

38.8%

25.2%

Portuguese Primeira

34.5%

41.3%

24.2%

Russian Premier League

34.5%

42.3%

23.2%

Scottish Premiership

32.9%

39.3%

27.8%

Spanish La Liga

37.4%

40.0%

22.6%

TOTAL

34.9%

41.5%

23.6%

Again there is not a tremendous disparity across our ten leagues of study, with Serie A seeing the highest rate of halftime draws at near 44% while the high scoring Eredivisie saw the lowest halftime draw rate at just over 38% of matches played the last five seasons.

How Often Do Home Clubs Lead Halftime/Fulltime?

Halftime/Fulltime (HTFT) betting is a popular market. But exactly how often are matches drawn at both halftime and fulltime? How often do home teams lose after leading at halftime? How often do away teams lead at both halftime and fulltime? The data below displays the percentages for each combination of results. For example, H/A reflects the home team leading at halftime and the away team then leading at fulltime.

League

H/H

H/D

H/A

D/H

D/D

D/A

A/H

A/D

A/A

Pro League

 27.7%

 4.1%

 2.6%

 16.1%

 16.2%

 10.3%

2.6%

4.7%

15.7%

Eng Premier

 27.2%

 5.1%

 1.7%

 15.2%

 15.6%

 11.5%

2.1%

4.6%

17.1%

Ligue Un

 26.6%

 5.5%

 2.1%

 16.6%

 16.9%

 10.4%

1.9%

5.1%

15.0%

Bundesliga

 28.5%

 4.9%

 1.9%

 14.5%

 14.8%

 10.7%

2.4%

4.7%

17.7%

ISerie A

 27.2%

 5.2%

 2.2%

 16.0%

 17.3%

 10.5%

2.1%

4.5%

15.2%

Eredivisie

 27.7%

 6.1%

 2.3%

 15.6%

 13.3%

 9.9%

3.2%

5.0%

17.1%

Primeira

 27.5%

 4.7%

 2.2%

 14.6%

 15.3%

 11.3%

2.5%

5.1%

16.6%

Rus Premier

 27.4%

 5.1%

 2.0%

 14.3%

 16.3%

 11.8%

2.1%

5.1%

16.0%

Scot Prem

 25.8%

 4.9%

 2.2%

 14.0%

 14.6%

10.7%

1.9%

4.7%

21.1%

La Liga

 30.7%

 4.7%

 2.0%

 15.2%

 14.6%

 10.1%

2.0%

4.2%

16.5%

TOTAL

 27.7%

 5.1%

 2.1%

 15.3%

 15.5%

 10.7%

2.2%

4.7%

16.6%

One observation from this data is that the chances of a team leading at halftime, then having their lead overturned in the second half and losing the match, is just over 2% for both home and away clubs. We can also see that the chances of a match being draw at halftime, then either the match finishing as a draw or the home team winning the match, are similar at both 15.5% and 15.3% respectively.

 Who Wins When A Match Is Drawn At Halftime?

We’ll now look at the chances of a fulltime victory based on the match being drawn at the half. The table below shows the chances of both home and away teams winning a match when the match has been tied at halftime.

League

Home Win %

Draw %

Away Win %

Belgian Pro League

37.9%

37.9%

24.2%

English Premier League

36.0%

36.8%

27.2%

French Ligue Un

37.9%

38.4%

23.7%

German Bundesliga

36.3%

37.1%

26.6%

Italian Serie A

36.5%

39.5%

24.0%

Dutch Eredivisie

40.3%

34.2%

25.5%

Portuguese Primeira

35.5%

37.1%

27.4%

Russian Premier League

33.7%

38.5%

27.8%

Scottish Premiership

35.7%

37.1%

27.2%

Spanish La Liga

38.1%

36.6%

25.3%

TOTAL

36.9%

37.4%

25.7%

We can see again that on average, across the last five seasons, when a match was drawn at halftime, the chances of the home club winning and the match ending in a fulltime draw were roughly the same at around 37%, while the chances of the away team winning in such circumstances were on average just under 26%.

What Is The Most Common Winning Margin?

What is the most common winning margin in football? How often do we see blowouts of three goals or greater? The table below displays a break down of match results across our ten leagues of study, based on fulltime margins.

League

Home 3+

Home 2

Home 1

Draw

Away 1

Away 2

Away 3 +

Pro League

10.7%

15.3%

20.4%

25.0%

15.1%

9.0%

4.5%

Eng Prem

10.6%

13.3%

20.6%

25.2%

17.5%

7.5%

5.3%

Ligue Un

9.0%

14.2%

22.0%

27.4%

16.1%

8.0%

3.5%

Bundesliga

11.6%

14.9%

18.8%

24.4%

14.8%

8.8%

6.7%

Serie A

9.2%

14.7%

21.2%

27.0%

14.9%

9.1%

3.8%

Eredivisie

13.8%

15.5%

17.2%

24.3%

12.5%

9.5%

7.2%

Primeira

10.3%

12.4%

22.1%

25.2%

16.4%

8.9%

4.8%

Rus Prem

9.5%

12.0%

22.3%

26.5%

15.7%

9.6%

4.5%

Scot Prem

10.8%

11.2%

19.7%

24.2%

18.6%

8.9%

6.6%

La Liga

13.8%

12.8%

21.3%

23.5%

16.7%

7.2%

4.6%

TOTAL

10.9%

13.7%

20.6%

25.3%

15.8%

8.5%

5.1%

Eredivisie, La Liga and Bundesliga saw the greatest number of three goal or more victories the last five seasons, with the Dutch league seeing 21% of all matches end with a margin of three goals or greater (13.8% for home clubs and 7.2% for away clubs). We can also see that on average, the chances of a home team winning by such a margin (10.9%) is just over double that of an average away team (5.1%).

 How Often Do Matches End Over 2.5 Goals?

What is the percentage of matches that see a minimum of two goals and what number of matches end with a goal feast of three or more? The table below shows the Over/Under results for our ten leagues the last five seasons.

League

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

Pro League

78.1%

21.9%

53.0%

47.0%

32.9%

67.1%

Eng Prem

74.3%

25.7%

52.5%

47.5%

30.2%

69.8%

Ligue Un

72.3%

27.7%

44.6%

55.4%

24.9%

75.1%

Bundesliga

79.4%

20.6%

55.9%

44.1%

34.4%

65.6%

Serie A

74.4%

25.6%

48.3%

51.7%

27.9%

72.1%

Eredivisie

84.4%

15.6%

59.9%

40.1%

39.0%

61.0%

Primeira

71.9%

28.1%

48.7%

51.3%

28.8%

71.2%

Rus Prem

71.6%

28.4%

45.3%

54.7%

23.8%

76.2%

Scot Prem

75.0%

25.0%

51.8%

48.2%

28.2%

71.8%

La Liga

74.3%

25.7%

52.1%

47.9%

30.2%

69.8%

TOTAL

75.5%

24.5%

51.1%

48.9%

30.0%

70.0%

On average just over 51% of all matches exceeded the 2.5 goals mark, with almost 60% of Eredivisie matches seeing a minimum of three goals scored, while at the other end of the scale, Ligue Un saw just under 45% of matches eclipse the three goal mark. On average, just over 75% of all matches saw a minimum of two goals, while 30% of matches saw at least four goals scored.

 How Often Do Both Teams Score?

How many football matches end with both teams scoring? The table below shows the percentage of matches played the last five seasons that ended with either both teams scoring or either one team/neither team scoring.

League

Both Teams To Score Yes

Both Teams To Score No

Belgian Pro League

54.4%

45.6%

English Premier League

51.3%

48.7%

French Ligue Un

49.7%

50.3%

German Bundesliga

54.6%

45.4%

Italian Serie A

51.0%

49.0%

Dutch Eredivisie

58.8%

41.2%

Portuguese Primeira

48.7%

51.3%

Russian Premier League

47.0%

53.0%

Scottish Premiership

49.7%

50.3%

Spanish La Liga

49.7%

50.3%

TOTAL

51.5%

48.5%

On average 51.5% of matches played saw both clubs get on the scoreboard, with just under 59% of all Eredivisie matches seeing scores from both clubs, while the Russian Premier League had the lowest mark of 47%.

 How Often Do Matches End Scoreless?

What percentage of matches end without a goal scored? And how often does the away team open the scoring? The table below shows both first goal rates for both home and away clubs plus the overall rate of scoreless matches the last five seasons.

League

Home Scores First

Away Scores First

Match Ends Scoreless

Pro League

53.9%

39.3%

6.8%

Eng Prem

53.1%

39.0%

8.0%

Ligue Un

54.0%

37.7%

8.4%

Bundesliga

52.9%

40.1%

7.0%

Serie A

53.2%

38.3%

8.5%

Eredivisie

55.9%

39.9%

4.2%

Primeira

52.8%

39.3%

7.9%

Rus Prem

52.0%

39.8%

8.2%

Scot Prem

49.8%

42.7%

7.5%

La Liga

53.8%

38.6%

7.6%

TOTAL

53.2%

39.3%

7.5%

As we would expect, the chances of a home team scoring first are greater than the away team at a rate of 53.2% to 39.3%. In terms of scoreless draws, 7.5% of all matches across our ten leagues of analysis ended without a goal the last five seasons, with Serie A seeing the highest rate at 8.5% while the Eredivisie saw by far the lowest rate of scoreless results at just over 4% of all matches played.

Current League Standings

To view club rankings across a range of statistical categories in hundreds of football leagues around the world, first select the nation, then league/competition you want to analyse and lastly the season

Football Live Streaming

Many bookmakers now offer football live streaming direct from their websites, with dozens of leagues available and broadcast live. If you’re tired of looking for quality free live streams or have paid high online broadcast subscription fees, then bookmaker live streams are well worth your consideration. While the leagues available differ from country to country, most bookmakers offer a wide range of both European and world football.

Please note, gaining access to football live streams can sometimes involve you either having placed a bet on the match in question or having your account funded. The good news is that the minimum requirements for both are usually small.

What Football Leagues Can You Watch Via Live Streams?

Ladbrokes and Betfair are the best bookmakers for football live streaming. They offer a combination of both audio only and audio/visual streams each day.

To access live streams you must have either a funded account or have placed a bet within the last 24 hours. To access Ladbrokes and Betfair live streams all you need is a funded account.

Unfortunately, each of these bookmakers do not offer English football league video streams to UK customers, however audio only streams are available for some matches.

The following football leagues are available via Ladbrokes and Betfair live streaming for all UK based customers:

>

 League

Ladbrokes

Betfair

AFC Cup

Yes

Argentina Primera

Yes

 Yes

Asian Champions League

 Yes

Asian Internationals

Yes

 Yes

Australia A-League

Yes

 Yes

Belgium Pro League

 Yes

Brazilian Paulista

 Yes

Champions League Qualifiers

Yes*

 Yes*

Chile Primera

Yes

China Super League

Yes

CONCACAF Champions League

 Yes

CONCACAF Internationals

Yes

 Yes

Copa Libertadores

Yes

 Yes

Copa Sudamericana

Yes

 Yes

Croatia 1. HNL

Czech League

Czech Cup

Denmark Superliga

Denmark Division 1

Ecuador Primera A

 Yes

Europa League Qualifiers

Yes*

European Internationals

Yes*

 Yes*

FA Cup

Finland Veikkausliiga

 Yes

France Ligue 1

France Ligue 2

Yes

 Yes

France Cup

Yes

Germany Bundesliga

Germany Bundesliga 2

Greece Super League

Holland Eredivisie

 Yes

Holland Jupiler League

Iceland Cup

Iceland Urvalsdeild

 Yes

India Super League

Yes

International Friendlies

Yes*

 Yes*

Israel Ligat Ha’Al

Italy Serie A

 Yes

Japan J1 League

 Yes

 Yes

Japan J2 League

 Yes

Korea K League

Latvia Virsliga

Mexico Liga MX

MLS

Norway Division 1

Norway Elitserien

Paraguay Professional Division

Peru Primera Division

Poland Ekstraklasa

Portugal Primeira Liga

Yes

 Yes

Portugal Segunda Liga

Pre Season Club Friendlies

Yes*

 Yes*

Romania Cup

Russia Premier League

Russia Division 1 (FNL)

 Yes

Serbia Super Liga

Slovenia Prva Liga

South American Internationals

Yes

 Yes*

South Korea K-League Classic

Spain La Liga

 Yes

 Yes

Spain La Liga 2

 Yes

Sweden Allsvenskan

 Yes

Switzerland Super League

Switzerland Challenge League

Switzerland Schweizer Pokal

Turkey Cup

Yes

Turkey Super Lig

UAE Arabian Gulf League

Yes

USA Major League Soccer

Yes

 Yes

Ukraine Premier League

Venezuela Primera Division

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